BSP steps in to prop up peso (2024)

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MANILA, Philippines — The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas has been dipping into the country’s dollar reserves “in small amounts” to temper the volatility in the foreign exchange market and prop up the weakening peso.

“We were active in small amounts—not to affect the value but to maintain orderly markets,” BSP Governor Eli Remolona Jr. told reporters in a chance interview on Monday, adding that the BSP would only intervene significantly “when there’s stress.”

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“The peso’s movement so far is not stressed. We all know this is a case of a strong dollar as many other currencies have also weakened. So not very strong grounds for [significant] intervention,” he added.

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A weak peso that has fallen to 17-month lows in recent weeks is one of the factors preventing the BSP from starting its easing cycle, as geopolitical risks and diverging outlook on rate cuts in the United States power up the greenback.

READ: Peso ends volatile week at 17-month low

This is because a volatile peso could push up import costs and stoke inflation. The last time the BSP sold some dollars from the country’s reserves to prop up a falling peso was last year when the currency touched the critical 57-level.

And the peso found itself back in that territory. In the last three weeks, the peso hovered above the revised foreign exchange assumption of the Marcos administration, which currently projects the peso to trade between 55 and 57 against the greenback this year.

For Robert Dan Roces, chief economist at Security Bank, it is hard to predict if the peso would fall to 58-per-dollar, adding that the BSP nevertheless appears to tolerate a slight currency weakness.

“The BSP intervenes in the FX market to curb volatility, not fix the peso rate. Governor Eli’s recent actions suggest minor adjustments,” Roces said.

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“Predicting a peso slide to 58 is difficult as market sentiment and global conditions all play a role. The BSP will surely act to prevent drastic depreciation, but may tolerate a small slide,” he added.

Apart from foreign exchange interventions, the BSP’s anti-inflation rate hikes can also help support the peso by making domestic yields more attractive to investment inflows.

READ: BSP ready to defend weakening peso

What Remolona made clear though is that the recent depreciation of the peso would unlikely trigger any policy actions from the BSP, which has so far kept its key rate unchanged at 6.5 percent, the tightest in 17 years. The Monetary Board, the highest policymaking body of the BSP, will meet on May 16 to decide on rates.

In the same interview on Monday, Remolona said the US Federal Reserve might cut rates “sooner” as the American job market begins to show signs of weakening due to tight financial conditions. This, in turn, could temper the dollar’s strength and ease the pressure on the peso.

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“It looks like the FMOC (Federal Open Market Committee) would ease sooner. Geopolitical risks have also moderated so maybe the peso and other currencies would stabilize,” the BSP chief said.

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BSP steps in to prop up peso (2024)

FAQs

How does the BSP control the money supply in the Philippines? ›

The BSP's payment increases reserve balances and expands the monetary supply in the Philippines. On the other hand, in Reverse Repurchase, the government acts as the seller, and works to decrease the liquidity of money. These transactions usually have maturities ranging from overnight to one month.

How many pesos can I bring out of the Philippines? ›

Bringing of Philippine Peso into or out of the Philippines

A person may freely bring into or take out of the Philippines, or electronically transfer, legal tender Philippine currency and other monetary instruments in amounts up to PHP50,000. In excess of the PHP50,000 limit, prior BSP written authorization is required.

Is the Philippine Peso going up or down? ›

The exchange rate for US dollar to Philippine pesos is currently 56.234 today, reflecting a 0.000% change since yesterday. Over the past week, the value of US dollar has remained relatively stable, with a 0.060% increase compared to its value 7 days ago.

What will happen to the Philippines if the dollar is higher? ›

“While a stronger dollar will lead to more costly imports, and, ultimately, higher inflation since we are largely an import-oriented economy, a weaker peso can also help the country since it has a lot of US dollar inflows from our overseas Filipino workers (OFWs) and the Business Process Outsourcing (BPO) sector, which ...

How to increase money supply? ›

Conducting monetary policy

If the Fed, for example, buys or borrows Treasury bills from commercial banks, the central bank will add cash to the accounts, called reserves, that banks are required keep with it. That expands the money supply.

Who controls the money supply in the Philippines? ›

The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) (or the Philippine Central Bank) is the central monetary authority in charge of regulating money, banking and credit in the Philippines.

What happens when you bring in more than $10000 dollars in Philippines? ›

Any excess amount not covered by specific written BSP authorization is subject to confiscation by the Philippine Bureau of Customs.

How much money can you bring on a plane per person in the Philippines? ›

A person may freely bring into or out of the Philippines foreign currency and other foreign currency-denominated bearer monetary instruments in amounts up to USD10,000 or its equivalent in other foreign currencies.

How much cash can a family bring to the Philippines? ›

You may bring into or take out of the country, including by mail, as much money as you wish. However, if it is more than $10,000, you will need to report it to CBP. Use the online Fincen 105 currency reporting site or ask a CBP officer for the paper copy of the Currency Reporting Form (FinCen 105).

What is the Philippines peso prediction for 2024? ›

The year 2024 is projected to start with a slight increase in the exchange rate, eventually climbing to around ₱ 59.54 - ₱ 61.96 by the year's end. In 2025, US Dollar will continue strengthening against Philippine Peso, potentially reaching ₱ 64.02.

What is the strongest currency in the world? ›

1. Kuwaiti dinar. Known as the strongest currency in the world, the Kuwaiti dinar or KWD was introduced in 1960 and was initially equivalent to one pound sterling. Kuwait is a small country that is nestled between Iraq and Saudi Arabia whose wealth has been driven largely by its large global exports of oil.

When was Philippine peso at its highest? ›

Historically, the USDPHP reached an all time high of 59.80 in June of 2024.

How strong is the US dollar in the Philippines? ›

1 USD = 56.277997 PHP Aug 29, 2024 01:30 UTC.

How rich is the Philippines in dollars? ›

The Philippines has a steadily growing economy, with a gross domestic product (GDP) that reached over 404.28 billion U.S. dollars in 2022. Gross domestic product (GDP) denotes the aggregate value of all services and goods produced within a country in any given year.

How is the Philippine economy today? ›

Weighed down by the COVID-19 pandemic, the Philippine economy is forecast to grow at 4.7 percent this year before accelerating to 5.9 percent in 2022 and 6.0 percent in 2023. Local governments have played a crucial role at the front lines of the COVID crisis.

What are the roles of BSP in the Philippine financial system? ›

The primary objective of the Bangko Sentral is to maintain price stability conducive to a balanced and sustainable growth of the economy and employment. It shall also promote and maintain monetary stability and the convertibility of the peso.

How do central banks control the supply of money? ›

Central banks affect the quantity of money in circulation by buying or selling government securities through the process known as open market operations (OMO). When a central bank is looking to increase the quantity of money in circulation, it purchases government securities from commercial banks and institutions.

How does the Fed control money supply? ›

The Fed controls the supply of money by increas- ing or decreasing the monetary base. The monetary base is related to the size of the Fed's balance sheet; specifically, it is currency in circulation plus the deposit balances that depository institutions hold with the Federal Reserve.

How does the central bank control the credit with the help of bank rates? ›

During inflation, when supply of credit is to be reduced, bank rate is increased. This reduces borrowing by the Commercial Banks implying a reduction in their cash reserve and therefore, a reduction in their capacity to create credit.

References

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